Ask a coach how much to eat while bulking and you'll often hear a number ranging from 300 to 500 calories a day above maintenance. Ask why that number, and the answers get vague. Researchers recently published a preprint (not yet peer-reviewed) claiming the energetic cost of building human skeletal muscle has never been explicitly calculated or measured. Their calculations suggest roughly a tenth of what common advice implies.
Overview
- What did they test? Nothing experimentally — this is a calculation, not a trial, and the researchers are explicit that their aim was a reference value practitioners and researchers could judge claims against, not a biological constant or a dietary prescription. The authors indicate that no prior research had explicitly aimed to calculate what it costs to build 1 kg (2.2 lbs) of wet human skeletal muscle. They indicate several distinct quantities that are easy to conflate: energy stored in the tissue, the biochemical cost of assembling it, the broader physiological cost of depositing it, maintenance of the new tissue during the gaining period, and the dietary intake needed to cover all of it. The model separates those five components and attempts to calculate each one. This is a preprint and not peer reviewed.
- What did they find? They suggest that stored energy alone is 1,355 kcal/kg; adding synthesis cost gives 1,515. Applying a protein deposition efficiency of 46% — the fraction of energy assigned to protein deposition that actually ends up as muscle protein — raises it to 2,587. Maintenance and diet-induced thermogenesis bring the final total to 3,481 kcal/kg, about 1,600 kcal per pound. Over the 12 weeks the authors assume it takes to gain that kilogram, that's roughly 41 kcal/day. A typical 300–500 kcal/day bulking surplus delivers nearly tenfold more.
- What does it mean for you? The researchers' calculations suggest the energetic cost of building ~2 lbs of muscle in 12 weeks is ~40 kcal/day. But, the energetic cost of building muscle tissue directly isn't the only factor that should influence daily energy intake when aiming to build muscle. Fueling the training that promotes growth, the elevated protein turnover and remodeling that follow it, and any adaptive rise in daily expenditure are all left out of this calculation. Targeting a ~40 kcal/day surplus to build muscle is not the justifiable takeaway from this preprint. Instead, it can be a useful reference when considering how to construct targets alongside other variables influencing energy needs (e.g., energy expenditure from training, basal metabolic rate, thermic effect of feeding, and non-exercise activity thermogenesis) for best results.
What’s the Problem?
Energy surpluses of roughly 300–500 kcal/day are commonly recommended to support muscle hypertrophy during resistance training 1 2, and normative data put typical fat-free mass accretion in drug-free lifters near 1–2 kg per 12 weeks 3. What connects those two figures has often been assumed rather than calculated. Slater and colleagues 1 reviewed the question and found that surplus guidance generally rests on the energy stored in muscle — roughly 5,000–7,400 kJ/kg (1196 - 1770 kcal/kg) by the estimates they summarized — while leaving unquantified the energetically expensive processes that deposit it: protein synthesis and turnover, the physiological inefficiency of tissue accretion, and the upkeep of new tissue. Kevin Hall 4 had shown how to model tissue deposition by treating stored energy and the cost of depositing it as separate terms, but that framework had not been applied to adult human skeletal muscle. The result, as Nikolaidis and colleagues describe it, is that quantities operating at different levels of accounting — energy in the tissue, energy spent making it, energy eaten to supply it, and the surplus a coach prescribes — are routinely conflated, and there is no reference value against which to check whether a given surplus, expected rate of gain, and intervention duration are physiologically compatible.
Purpose
The purpose was to construct a transparent, bottom-up estimate of the additional metabolizable energy required to build 1 kg of wet human skeletal muscle, decomposed into stored tissue energy, biochemical synthesis cost, physiological deposition cost, resting maintenance during accretion, and diet-induced thermogenesis. The authors state explicitly that the value is meant as a tissue-specific reference point, not a biological constant or a daily dietary prescription.
Hypothesis
There was no hypothesis. This is a modeling paper with no prediction to test and no inferential statistics. The authors describe a Fermi-style approach: decompose a quantity that resists direct measurement into components with empirical anchors, estimate each, and sum, keeping every assumption explicit and replaceable.
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About the author
Cody Haun
Cody Haun completed his Bachelor's and Master's Degrees at East Tennessee State University where he studied Exercise and Sport Physiology alongside his work as a strength and conditioning coach. During this time, Cody developed a keen interest in physiology and nutrition. Cody went on to complete his PhD from Auburn University with a concentration in...[Continue]
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